A turn in the weather is imminent: the cooling La Niña cycle is ending, and its hotter brother is taking over. Experts are therefor expecting new temperature records.
Will this year be the hottest on record? Experts see the course set for this. The El Niño weather phenomenon is looming, which is likely to drive up global temperatures.
Forecast 21. November 2022: Today’s temperature is forecast to be nearly the same as yesterday, expected to be mainly sunny, peak temperature around 26°C, winds NNE at 15 to 25 km/h. The predicted tide times today on Monday, 21. November 2022 for La Paz are: first low tide at 00:47hr, first high tide at 07:05hr, second low tide at 13:57hr, second high tide at 20:04hr.
Sunrise is at 06:40hr and sunset is at 17:33hr.
Today, partly cloudy. high 33°C, winds WSW at 10 to 15 km/h.
Meanwhile, storm Roslyn becomes a category 4 hurricane as it turns north-northwestward and is forecast to reach the coast of west-central Mexico on Sunday.
The center of Roslyn will move parallel to the southwestern coast
of Mexico through midday today, then approach the coast of
Swells generated by Roslyn will spread northward to the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula through the weekend.
Today's temperature is forecast to be nearly the same as yesterday.
Sunny to partly cloudy, peak temperatures 34°C, winds WNW at 10 to 15 km/h.
Sunrise is at 07:10hr and sunset is at 19:17hr.
Off the coast of southwestern Mexico a system with a 70% chance of formation during the coming 48 hours is developing. A tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two. This system is expected to move west-northwestward near or just south of southwestern Mexico over the next day or so, and then away from the coast of Mexico through the end of the week.
2 more systems south of southwestern Mexico:
1) An area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity just off the coast of southwestern Mexico.
Some slow development of this system is possible.
2) South of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area
of low pressure just offshore of southern Mexico and Guatemala
Join our Baja Weather Channel
At 15:00hr MDT (21:00 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Madeline was about 220km (140 mi) S of the southern tip of Baja California peninsula. Outer bands from Madeline are forecast to produce additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches this evening over the southern tip of Baja California.
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Madeline was about 245 km (155 mi) SSW of Cabo Corrientes Mexico and about 580 km (360 mi) SSE of the southern tip of Baja California.
On the forecast track, the center of Madeline is expected to turn away from the coast of Mexico during the next days. Max. sustained winds are near 75 km/h (45 mph) with higher gusts.Weakening is expected to begin on Monday, and Madeline is likely to degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low on Tuesday.
Forecast Saturday 17. September 2022, La Paz, Baja California Sur with plenty of sunshine. Peak temperature expacted 36°C. Winds WNW at 10 to 15 km/h.
Further south, not of our concern (yet): Lester.
At 07:00 hr CDT (12:00 UTC), the center of tropical storm Lester was about 180km (110 mi) SE of Acapulco, Mexico. Lester is moving toward the northwest near 17km/h (10 mph), and this motion is expected to continue through today.
Today, forecast La Paz, BCS for Thursday, 15. September 2022: sunny, peal temperatures 34°C, winds NNW at 15 to 25 km/h.
The predicted tide times today on Thursday 15 September 2022 for La Paz are: first high tide at 00:06hr, first low tide at 05:04hr, second high tide at 11:37hr, second low tide at 19:05hr.
Sunrise is at 07:07hr and sunset is at 19:24hr.
La Paz, Baja California Sur, weather forecast 9. September 2022. A mix of clouds and sun during the morning will give way to cloudy skies this afternoon. Peak temperatures expected 32°C. Winds SW at 10 to 15 km/h.
The predicted tide times today on Friday 09 September 2022 for La Paz are: first low tide was at 03:59hr, first high tide will be at 10:22hr, second low tide at 15:30hr, second high tide at 21:31hr.
Sunrise was at 07:05hr and sunset is at 19:31hr.
At 06:00 hr MDT (12:00 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Kay was located about 355 km (220 mi) SW of the southern tip of Baja California with maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h (100 mph). Outer rain bands of Kay beginning to reach the southern Baja California peninsula.
Kay is expected to produce rainfall totals of 6 to 10 inches, isolated maxima of 15 inches.
At 18:00hr MDT (00:00 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kay was about 445 km (275 mi) SSW of the southern tip of Baja California peninsula with maximum sustained winds of 140km/h (85 mph)
In Las Paz we have currently strong rainfall at Fidepaz / Puesta del Sol area.
Kay is expected to bring strong winds and heavy rains to portions
of the southern Baja California peninsula beginning TOMORROW
On the forecast track, the center of Kay is expected move to the west of the southern Baja California peninsula on Wednesday, and approach the west-central coast of the Baja California peninsula Wednesday night and Thursday.
Strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours, and Kay could become a major hurricane during that time.
Weakening is forecast to begin by Thursday, but Kay is forecast to remain a strong hurricane when it passes near the Baja California peninsula.
Hurricane Kay expected to strengthen more early this week. at 18:00 MDT the storm was about 510 km (315 mi) SW of Manzanillo, Mexico and
about 815 km (505 mi) SSE of the southern tip of Baja California
maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h (80 mph).
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from Loreto southward to Cabo San Lucas
and from Cabo San Lucas northward to Puerto San Andresito
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula from Loreto on
the east coast and Puerto San Andresito on the west coast southward.
Tropical storm conditions are possible across the southern
Baja California peninsula by early Wednesday, where a Tropical
Storm Watch has been issued.
Kay is expected to be a hurricane when it nears the central
portion of the Baja California peninsula later this week.
Continued strengthening is forecast through midweek while it moves northward toward the Baja California peninsula later this week. While the details of the long-range track and intensity forecasts are uncertain, there is increasing risk of wind and rainfall impacts in the Baja California peninsula during the middle and latter parts of the week.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 335 km (205 miles) primarily to the northeast of the center.
The depression is moving toward the west near 17km/h (10 mph) and a west to west-northwest motion is expected during the next couple of days, followed by a turn to the north.
The depression is expected to remain south of southwestern Mexico during the next couple of days.
Swells generated by the depression expected to reach the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula by Tuesday.
At 10:00hr CDT (15:00 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve-E was located about 360km (225 mi) SSW of Acapulco Mexico.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today. Interests in southwestern Mexico and the Baja California peninsula should closely monitor the depression.